METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 1
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2005
Middleweight
VS
93%
Swick
7%
Ray
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:22
★ Official Result
Mike SwickwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:22
def. Gideon Ray · UFC Fight Night 1
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
→
Actual result
Swick wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Swick is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ray has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwickRay
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swick
Ray
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Swick
Ray
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
1.8
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Swick
Ray
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Swick
Ray
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swick
Ray
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/32 fights
Swick
Ray
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · R1
Swick
Ray
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Ray
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SwickRay
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRay
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ray targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Ray
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R2
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoSubmission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyDecision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Ray · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Charles McCarthySubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
L · R1
David LoiseauUFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02