METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Featherweight
VS
39%
Aldo
61%
McGregor
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:13
★ Official Result
Conor McGregorwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:13
def. Jose Aldo · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGregor
→
Actual result
McGregor wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McGregor holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Aldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGregor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGregor has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldoMcGregor
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldo
McGregor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+74"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Aldo
McGregor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
68.5
53.6
Performance Avg
67.0
49
Quality of Victory
67
40
Momentum Score
85
Aldo
McGregor
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
7.6
6.9
Style: Volume
2.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Aldo
McGregor
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
McGregor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Aldo
McGregor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Aldo
McGregor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
McGregor
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
AldoMcGregor
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMcGregor
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯McGregor targets the head (80% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
McGregor
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
McGregor · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierUFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10