METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Las Vegas, USA
17 May 2025
Middleweight
VS
36%
Stoltzfus
64%
Ruziboev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nursulton RuziboevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Stoltzfus · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ruziboev
→
Actual result
Ruziboev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ruziboev holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Stoltzfus's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoltzfusRuziboev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'5"
75"
Reach
+76"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
67.2
42.1
Performance Avg
59.1
46
Quality of Victory
51
10
Momentum Score
82
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.7
2.7
Style: Volume
3.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
2
Body
4
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance11
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/45 fights
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
82
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
StoltzfusRuziboev
Strike Zones
Stoltzfus
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedRuziboev
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stoltzfus targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Ruziboev absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Ruziboev targets the head (64% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stoltzfus
RND
Ruziboev
0/0R00/0
Stoltzfus · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Mansur Abdul-MalikSubmission
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W · KO · R1
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Ruziboev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
Eric McConicoKO/TKO
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