UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Las Vegas, USA
17 May 2025
Middleweight
VS
32%
Stoltzfus
68%
Ruziboev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dustin
Dustin Stoltzfus
16 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Nursulton
Nursulton Ruziboev
"Black"
36 – 9
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'5"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ruziboev

Ruziboev holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Stoltzfus throws more volume but Ruziboev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Stoltzfus's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'5"
75"
Reach
+76"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.6
72.1
38.9
Performance Avg
62.0
45
Quality of Victory
50
10
Momentum Score
100
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
2
Body
4
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance11
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/45 fights
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stoltzfus
Ruziboev
Striking3.9 / 9.1Volume3.3 / 3.6Grappling3.5 / 0.6Wrestling2.4 / 0.4Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Stoltzfus
Strike Zones
Ruziboev
Stoltzfus
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY10LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Ruziboev
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY10LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stoltzfus targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Ruziboev absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Ruziboev targets the head (64% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stoltzfus
RND
Ruziboev
0/0R00/0

Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.1L5.3L5.1L4.5W2.3L6.2W3.1L5.0W7.4L5.8L2020-112022-072024-062025-09
WinLossTrend

Ruziboev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.6W5.0W6.7L5.2W4.5W2023-072024-032024-052025-022025-05
WinLossTrend

Stoltzfus · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

Ruziboev · Last 5

Upcoming
Andrey Pulyaev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R2
Eric McConicoRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Dustin Stoltzfus · Nursulton Ruziboev
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