UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
Indianapolis, USA
25 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
13%
Lopez
87%
Lowe
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SL
Steve Lopez
13 – 6
5'11"Orthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
WL
Waylon Lowe
16 – 7
Well-Rounded45 yrsSouthpaw5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lowe

Lowe is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lowe has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Lowe has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lowe has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lopez
Lowe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lopez
Lowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
13.7
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
61
Lopez
Lowe
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.7
20%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
12
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Lopez
Lowe
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lopez
Lowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Lopez
Lowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
61
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Lopez
Lowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lopez
Lowe
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 9.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Lopez
Strike Zones
Lowe
Lopez
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Lowe
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lopez targets the body (75% of attacks) — Lowe absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lowe targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lopez
RND
Lowe
0/0R00/0

Lopez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0103.2L5.5L2009-092010-09
WinLossTrend

Lowe · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L2010-052010-092011-012011-03
WinLossTrend

Lopez · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Waylon LoweRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
L · KO · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

Lowe · Last 4

L · Sub · R3
Nik LentzRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
Willamy FreireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve LopezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05

News & Media

Steve Lopez · Waylon Lowe
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