The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
61%
Matthews
39%
Lee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Jake
Jake Matthews
"The Celtic Kid"
22 – 8
5'11"73" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Matthews

Matthews holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Lee has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Matthews connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Matthews
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
+77"
31+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.4
35.2
48.3
Performance Avg
48.3
37
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
53
Matthews
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
21
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
1Clinch2
0Ground20
Matthews
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matthews
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Matthews
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Matthews
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Matthews
Lee
Striking2.0 / 3.0Volume5.0 / 4.1Grappling4.3 / 3.8Wrestling3.0 / 2.6Submission4.0 / 3.6Pressure5.2 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Matthews
Strike Zones
Lee
Matthews
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (88% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Matthews
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Matthews · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.2W1.5L4.2W5.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1L5.2W6.0L6.0W7.6L5.6W5.2W6.1W4.6L2014-062016-112020-022023-112025-09
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Matthews · Last 5

Upcoming
Muslim Salikhov
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Jake Matthews · Kevin Lee
← Back to fights