UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Flyweight
VS
43%
Hadley
57%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jake
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
11 – 4
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Allan
Allan Nascimento
"Puro Osso"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nascimento

This is a genuine toss-up — Hadley at 43% vs Nascimento at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hadley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hadley
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
29+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hadley
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
65.4
44.0
Performance Avg
55.0
45
Quality of Victory
38
67
Momentum Score
100
Hadley
Nascimento
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground3
Hadley
Nascimento
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hadley
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Hadley
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hadley
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hadley
Nascimento
Striking4.2 / 1.6Volume3.5 / 5.6Grappling3.5 / 5.2Wrestling2.4 / 3.6Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure6.0 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Hadley
Strike Zones
Nascimento
Hadley
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Nascimento
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hadley targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hadley
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0

Hadley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.2W5.0W5.6L6.4L4.6W5.5L2022-052023-032024-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Nascimento · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.6L5.2W5.0W5.6W5.4W2021-102022-052023-012025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Hadley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Nascimento · Last 5

Upcoming
Mitch Raposo
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Carlos HernandezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

News & Media

Jake Hadley · Allan Nascimento
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