UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Charlotte, USA
31 Mar 2010
Lightweight
VS
53%
Emerson
47%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Emerson
This is a genuine toss-up — Emerson at 53% vs Lentz at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lentz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Emerson
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emerson
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
16.0
42.0
Performance Avg
45.3
37
Quality of Victory
35
79
Momentum Score
53
Emerson
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.1
29%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
15
0
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground18
Emerson
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emerson
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/30 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Emerson
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Emerson
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emerson
Lentz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
EmersonLentz
Strike Zones
Emerson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedLentz
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emerson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Emerson absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emerson
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Emerson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lentz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Emerson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Phillipe NoverRating 4.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Kurt PellegrinoRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Manvel GamburyanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10