UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2015
Middleweight
VS
49%
Herman
51%
Brunson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:36
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brunson

This is a genuine toss-up — Herman at 49% vs Brunson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Herman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brunson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Herman
Brunson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Herman
Brunson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
40.2
47.4
Performance Avg
54.7
44
Quality of Victory
47
82
Momentum Score
72
Herman
Brunson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Herman
Brunson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Brunson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Herman
Brunson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Herman
Brunson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herman
Brunson
Striking4.1 / 6.3Volume3.5 / 4.2Grappling3.8 / 2.0Wrestling2.7 / 1.4Submission3.9 / 1.4Pressure6.4 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Herman
Strike Zones
Brunson
Herman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Brunson
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (91% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herman
RND
Brunson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

News & Media

Ed Herman · Derek Brunson
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