The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Nov 2006
Middleweight
VS
92%
Rivera
8%
DeWees
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rivera
Rivera is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Striking split: DeWees throws more volume but Rivera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rivera's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
DeWees has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rivera
DeWees
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
54
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
DeWees
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
1.2
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Rivera
DeWees
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
40%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
4
4
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance4
10Clinch2
7Ground0
Rivera
DeWees
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
DeWees
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
3/55 fights
Rivera
DeWees
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Rivera
DeWees
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
DeWees
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RiveraDeWees
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDeWees
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (67% of attacks) — DeWees absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯DeWees targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
DeWees
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
DeWees · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
DeWees · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Jorge RiveraRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
Chris LebenRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 44: Undisputed · 2003-09