METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Middleweight
VS
62%
Hall
38%
Natal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rafael NatalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Uriah Hall · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hall
→
Actual result
Natal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hall holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Natal has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Hall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Natal has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HallNatal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hall
Natal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
77"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Natal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
15.2
47.8
Performance Avg
40.5
45
Quality of Victory
30
45
Momentum Score
81
Hall
Natal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
3
Body
1
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance7
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Hall
Natal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Natal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Hall
Natal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hall
Natal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
22%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Natal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
HallNatal
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedNatal
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the legs (46% of attacks) — Natal absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Natal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Natal
0/0R00/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Natal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Natal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Uriah HallRating 4.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05