METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Middleweight
VS
62%
Hall
38%
Natal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rafael NatalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Uriah Hall · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hall
→
Actual result
Natal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hall holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Natal has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Natal has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HallNatal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hall
Natal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
77"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Natal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
15.2
47.8
Performance Avg
40.5
45
Quality of Victory
30
45
Momentum Score
81
Hall
Natal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
3.2
2.6
Style: Volume
7.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
3
Body
1
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance7
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Hall
Natal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hall
Natal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Hall
Natal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hall
Natal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
22%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Natal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
HallNatal
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedNatal
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the legs (46% of attacks) — Natal absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Natal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Natal
0/0R00/0
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizDecision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Natal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschKO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Kevin CaseyKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Uriah HallDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05