UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Welterweight
VS
95%
Brown
5%
Thomas
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
Brown is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown
Thomas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Thomas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
2.1
54.0
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Brown
Thomas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.3
60%
Strike Accuracy
16%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
13 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Brown
Thomas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Thomas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Brown
Thomas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Brown
Thomas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
13
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Thomas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BrownThomas
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedThomas
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Thomas targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Thomas
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Thomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Thomas · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 2.8Submission
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08