UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Middleweight
VS
63%
Tanner
37%
Baroni
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tanner
Tanner holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Baroni has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tanner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baroni has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tanner
Baroni
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
55
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Baroni
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
13.1
57.1
Performance Avg
41.5
52
Quality of Victory
49
93
Momentum Score
10
Tanner
Baroni
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
6
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
9Clinch11
13Ground0
Tanner
Baroni
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tanner
Baroni
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Tanner
Baroni
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Tanner
Baroni
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tanner
Baroni
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
TannerBaroni
Strike Zones
Tanner
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBaroni
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (57% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Baroni targets the head (82% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tanner
RND
Baroni
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Tanner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Baroni · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Tanner · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
Baroni · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellRating 4Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11