METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Middleweight
VS
63%
Tanner
37%
Baroni
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:42
ET
Evan Tanner
328
6'0"74" reachOrthodox55 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
PB
Phil Baroni
"The New York Bad Ass"
1518
Striker6-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Evan TannerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:42
def. Phil Baroni · UFC 45: Revolution

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tanner
Actual result
Tanner wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Tanner holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Baroni has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tanner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Baroni has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TannerBaroni
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Tanner
Baroni
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
55
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Baroni
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
13.1
57.1
Performance Avg
41.5
52
Quality of Victory
49
93
Momentum Score
10
Tanner
Baroni
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
6
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
9Clinch11
13Ground0
Tanner
Baroni
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tanner
Baroni
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Tanner
Baroni
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Tanner
Baroni
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tanner
Baroni
Striking4.9 / 7.3Volume2.8 / 3.3Grappling3.4 / 0.8Wrestling2.3 / 0.6Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Tanner
Strike Zones
Baroni
Tanner
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Baroni
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (57% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Baroni targets the head (82% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tanner
RND
Baroni
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Tanner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.0W4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.3W5.0W5.1L4.8L5.0W2.8L5.5L1999-012002-032004-102008-032008-06
WinLossTrend

Baroni · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.2W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L2001-022002-092004-062011-01
WinLossTrend

Tanner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5
Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

Baroni · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellRating 4
Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11

News & Media

Evan Tanner · Phil Baroni
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