METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Middleweight
VS
63%
Tanner
37%
Baroni
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:42
★ Official Result
Evan TannerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:42
def. Phil Baroni · UFC 45: Revolution
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tanner
→
Actual result
Tanner wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Tanner holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Baroni has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baroni has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TannerBaroni
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tanner
Baroni
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
55
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Baroni
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
13.1
57.1
Performance Avg
41.5
52
Quality of Victory
49
93
Momentum Score
10
Tanner
Baroni
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
5.6
2.8
Style: Volume
3.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
6
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
9Clinch11
13Ground0
Tanner
Baroni
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tanner
Baroni
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Tanner
Baroni
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Tanner
Baroni
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tanner
Baroni
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
TannerBaroni
Strike Zones
Tanner
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBaroni
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (57% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Baroni targets the head (82% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tanner
RND
Baroni
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Tanner · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauUFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinUFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
Baroni · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresKO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellSubmission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerDecision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerKO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11