METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Jones
44%
Miocic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:29
★ Official Result
Jon JoneswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:29
def. Stipe Miocic · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 56% vs Miocic at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Miocic throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JonesMiocic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jones
Miocic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
80"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Miocic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
56.3
74.6
Performance Avg
64.9
61
Quality of Victory
59
100
Momentum Score
78
Jones
Miocic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.7
58%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
12
5
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
30Distance11
1Clinch4
3Ground0
Jones
Miocic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Miocic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Jones
Miocic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Jones
Miocic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
64%
6
KO / TKO Wins
9
6
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Miocic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
JonesMiocic
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMiocic
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (74% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Miocic targets the head (80% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Miocic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07