UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Flyweight
VS
48%
Ortiz
52%
Borg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borg
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 48% vs Borg at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Borg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Ortiz
Borg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
63"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Borg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
18.5
47.8
Performance Avg
42.5
42
Quality of Victory
32
45
Momentum Score
89
Ortiz
Borg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
56%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
9
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance4
9Clinch1
2Ground0
Ortiz
Borg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Borg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Ortiz
Borg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
89
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Ortiz
Borg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Borg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
OrtizBorg
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBorg
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (43% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Borg targets the head (80% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Borg
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Borg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10