UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
22 May 2021
Flyweight
VS
97%
Silva
3%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Silva
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
1.6
51.7
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
38%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Silva
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Silva
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Silva
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SilvaRodriguez
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.6WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
Upcoming
Edgar ChairezUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R3
HyunSung ParkRating 7.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Joshua VanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
Rodriguez · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Adrian YanezRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10