METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
54%
Magomedov
46%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shara MagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
→
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 54% vs Oleksiejczuk at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Oleksiejczuk throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
54.6
54.9
Performance Avg
55.3
36
Quality of Victory
53
99
Momentum Score
52
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
2.5
68%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
9
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance16
4Clinch1
0Ground1
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
36
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (56% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
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Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
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