UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
54%
Magomedov
46%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Shara
Shara Magomedov
"Bullet"
161
6'2"73" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
229
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magomedov

This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 54% vs Oleksiejczuk at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Oleksiejczuk throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
54.6
54.9
Performance Avg
55.3
36
Quality of Victory
53
99
Momentum Score
52
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.5
68%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
9
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance16
4Clinch1
0Ground1
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
36
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Strikes absorbed / min
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Striking5.7 / 9.2Volume6.5 / 2.8Grappling1.4 / 0.5Wrestling1.0 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Magomedov
Strike Zones
Oleksiejczuk
Magomedov
Attacking
12HEAD9BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD9BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (56% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magomedov
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0

Magomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8W5.5W5.5W5.2W6.3L4.5W2023-102024-062024-082024-102025-022025-07
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Magomedov · Last 5

Upcoming
Michel Pereira
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R2
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Shara Magomedov · Michal Oleksiejczuk
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