METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
55%
Magomedov
45%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shara MagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
→
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 55% vs Oleksiejczuk at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.5
52.9
54.8
Performance Avg
54.0
34
Quality of Victory
53
99
Momentum Score
52
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
7.3
7.0
Style: Volume
2.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
9
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance16
4Clinch1
0Ground1
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
24
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
6
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
52
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (56% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Magomedov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abus MagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08