UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Crute
48%
Hill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Crute
This is a genuine toss-up — Crute at 52% vs Hill at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Crute has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Crute
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+79"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Crute
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
60.4
56.7
Performance Avg
54.2
55
Quality of Victory
50
91
Momentum Score
92
Crute
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
2
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Crute
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Crute
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Crute
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
92
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Crute
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
CruteHill
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHill
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (33% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (50% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Crute · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.4Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Alonzo MenifieldRating 3.6Submission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

