UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Flyweight
VS
41%
Durden
59%
Ochoa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:11
Cody
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
18 – 10
5'7"67" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Jose
Jose Ochoa
"Kalzifer"
9 – 2
Well-Rounded25 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'7"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ochoa

This is a genuine toss-up — Durden at 41% vs Ochoa at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ochoa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Durden's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Durden
Ochoa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
35
Age
+25
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Durden
Ochoa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
53.3
38.8
Performance Avg
44.0
34
Quality of Victory
40
54
Momentum Score
69
Durden
Ochoa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Durden
Ochoa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Durden
Ochoa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Durden
Ochoa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
69
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Durden
Ochoa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Durden
Ochoa
Striking2.4 / 6.0Volume6.7 / 5.0Grappling2.9 / 1.2Wrestling2.0 / 0.8Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Durden
Strike Zones
Ochoa
Durden
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Ochoa
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ochoa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Durden
RND
Ochoa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Durden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.0L5.3W2.9L5.0W4.5W5.4W5.2W3.8L3.6L5.4W7.1L3.7L4.3L6.6L5.6W2020-122022-102024-072025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Ochoa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0106.2L5.4W6.6L5.4W2024-112025-062025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Durden · Last 5

Upcoming
Ode Osbourne
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

Ochoa · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Cody Durden · Jose Ochoa
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