METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Flyweight
VS
41%
Durden
59%
Ochoa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:11
★ Official Result
Jose OchoawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:11
def. Cody Durden · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ochoa
→
Actual result
Ochoa wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Durden at 41% vs Ochoa at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DurdenOchoa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Durden
Ochoa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
35
Age
+25
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Durden
Ochoa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
53.3
37.6
Performance Avg
44.0
34
Quality of Victory
40
54
Momentum Score
69
Durden
Ochoa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.6
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Durden
Ochoa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Durden
Ochoa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Durden
Ochoa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
69
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Durden
Ochoa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Ochoa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
DurdenOchoa
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedOchoa
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ochoa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
Ochoa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Durden · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alessandro CostaSubmission
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UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
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UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
Ochoa · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
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L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
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