METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 85: Bedlam
London, United Kingdom
7 Jun 2008
Welterweight
VS
42%
Alves
58%
Hughes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:02
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:02
def. Matt Hughes · UFC 85: Bedlam
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
→
Actual result
Alves wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 42% vs Hughes at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Alves throws more volume but Hughes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hughes has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesHughes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
42+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Alves
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
23.0
47.3
Performance Avg
64.6
42
Quality of Victory
60
63
Momentum Score
100
Alves
Hughes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Alves
Hughes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Alves
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alves
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
61%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
5
7
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
AlvesHughes
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHughes
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
Hughes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05