UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Lightweight
VS
40%
Ricci
60%
Jury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jury
Jury holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ricci has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Jury has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Jury has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jury has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ricci
Jury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ricci
Jury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.8
17.8
28.3
Performance Avg
51.3
25
Quality of Victory
41
40
Momentum Score
50
Ricci
Jury
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.3
30%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Ricci
Jury
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ricci
Jury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Ricci
Jury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Ricci
Jury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ricci
Jury
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
RicciJury
Strike Zones
Ricci
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJury
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ricci targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jury targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ricci
RND
Jury
0/0R00/0
Ricci · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Ricci · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Myles JuryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Colin FletcherRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R3
Colton SmithRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12