UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Lightweight
VS
52%
Hooker
48%
Haqparast
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hooker
This is a genuine toss-up — Hooker at 52% vs Haqparast at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hooker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Haqparast throws more volume but Hooker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hooker's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hooker
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Hooker
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.3
48.0
50.3
Performance Avg
45.6
45
Quality of Victory
32
78
Momentum Score
72
Hooker
Haqparast
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
3
Body
4
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance9
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Hooker
Haqparast
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooker
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Hooker
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hooker
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
20%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooker
Haqparast
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
HookerHaqparast
Strike Zones
Hooker
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedHaqparast
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooker targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (44% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooker
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0
Hooker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Haqparast · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hooker · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Haqparast · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09