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UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Lightweight
VS
52%
Hooker
48%
Haqparast
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Dan
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24 – 14
6'0"75" reachSwitch36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Nasrat
Nasrat Haqparast
18 – 6
Well-Rounded30 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 48
β˜… Official Result
Dan HookerwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Nasrat Haqparast Β· UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hooker
β†’
Actual result
Hooker wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Hooker at 52% vs Haqparast at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hooker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Haqparast throws more volume but Hooker connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hooker's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Haqparast has a chin rating of 50 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HookerHaqparast
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Hooker
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Hooker
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.3
48.0
50.3
Performance Avg
45.6
45
Quality of Victory
32
78
Momentum Score
72
Hooker
Haqparast
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.9
2.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
3
Body
4
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance9
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Hooker
Haqparast
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooker
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Hooker
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
78
72
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Hooker
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
20%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooker
Haqparast
Striking6.2 / 3.3Volume4.0 / 7.7Grappling2.0 / 1.9Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Hooker
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Hooker
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY8LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Haqparast
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY8LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hooker targets the legs (44% of attacks) β€” Haqparast absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (44% of attacks) β€” Hooker absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Hooker
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0

Hooker Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W7.1L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.6W5.4W5.2W4.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L2.3L5.2W3.5L2.9L6.1W5.7W5.6W3.8L4.5L2014-062017-062019-102022-032026-01
WinLossTrend

Haqparast Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.6W4.5W5.9W2.7L4.5W5.3W6.4L6.2L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.9W5.2W3.6L2017-102020-012022-022024-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Hooker Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 Β· 2026-01
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker Β· 2025-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Β· 2024-08
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Β· 2023-07
W Β· KO Β· R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Β· 2022-11

Haqparast Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Β· 2025-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev Β· 2025-03
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Β· 2024-06
W Β· KO Β· R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez Β· 2023-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Β· 2023-09

News & Media

Dan Hooker Β· Nasrat Haqparast
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