UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
31%
Antigulov
69%
Grishin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grishin
Grishin holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Antigulov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Antigulov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Antigulov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Antigulov's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Antigulov
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+78"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Antigulov
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
34.9
45.7
Performance Avg
40.0
54
Quality of Victory
40
33
Momentum Score
48
Antigulov
Grishin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
2
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance13
2Clinch1
1Ground9
Antigulov
Grishin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Antigulov
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Antigulov
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
48
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Antigulov
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Antigulov
Grishin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
AntigulovGrishin
Strike Zones
Antigulov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGrishin
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Antigulov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the head (83% of attacks) — Antigulov absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Antigulov
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0
Antigulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Grishin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Antigulov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Maxim GrishinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigRating 2.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Joachim ChristensenRating 5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Grishin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Philipe LinsRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07