UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jul 2024
Lightweight
VS
55%
Radzhabov
45%
Ogden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Radzhabov
This is a genuine toss-up — Radzhabov at 55% vs Ogden at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Radzhabov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Radzhabov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Radzhabov
Ogden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Radzhabov
Ogden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
37.3
42.5
Performance Avg
35.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
69
Momentum Score
40
Radzhabov
Ogden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Radzhabov
Ogden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Radzhabov
Ogden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Radzhabov
Ogden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
40
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Radzhabov
Ogden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Radzhabov
Ogden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
RadzhabovOgden
Strike Zones
Radzhabov
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedOgden
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Radzhabov targets the head (94% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Ogden targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Radzhabov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Radzhabov
RND
Ogden
0/0R00/0
Radzhabov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ogden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Radzhabov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 5.6Decision
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W · KO · R3
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Ogden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 5.7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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