UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Bantamweight
VS
7%
Moutinho
93%
Cannetti
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
Kris
Kris Moutinho
14 – 8
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw33 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 3
GC
Guido Cannetti
"Ninja"
10 – 8
Well-Rounded46 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'6"
CFR 34

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cannetti

Cannetti is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cannetti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Cannetti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moutinho's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cannetti has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Moutinho
Cannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
33+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Moutinho
Cannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
34.3
0.0
Performance Avg
40.6
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
68
Moutinho
Cannetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
18
1
Body
5
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance21
0Clinch7
0Ground0
Moutinho
Cannetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moutinho
Cannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
28
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Moutinho
Cannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Moutinho
Cannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moutinho
Cannetti
Striking0.0 / 3.3Volume0.0 / 4.8Grappling0.0 / 3.2Wrestling0.0 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure0.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Moutinho
Strike Zones
Cannetti
Moutinho
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY5LEGS28 absorbed
Cannetti
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY5LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moutinho targets the head (73% of attacks) — Cannetti absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Cannetti targets the head (64% of attacks) — Moutinho absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moutinho
RND
Cannetti
0/0R00/0

Moutinho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L1.5L2.9L6.3L2021-072022-032025-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Cannetti · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W3.6L2.1L5.5L5.0W5.0W2.6L2014-112018-052021-082023-03
WinLossTrend

Moutinho · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Guido CannettiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

Cannetti · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R1
Randy CostaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Kris MoutinhoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03

News & Media

Kris Moutinho · Guido Cannetti
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