METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Bantamweight
VS
7%
Moutinho
93%
Cannetti
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
★ Official Result
Guido CannettiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:07
def. Kris Moutinho · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cannetti
→
Actual result
Cannetti wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Cannetti is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cannetti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Moutinho's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannetti has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoutinhoCannetti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moutinho
Cannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
34+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Moutinho
Cannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
34.3
0.0
Performance Avg
40.6
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
68
Moutinho
Cannetti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
4.7
0.0
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
18
1
Body
5
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance21
0Clinch7
0Ground0
Moutinho
Cannetti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moutinho
Cannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
28
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Moutinho
Cannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Moutinho
Cannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moutinho
Cannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MoutinhoCannetti
Strike Zones
Moutinho
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedCannetti
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moutinho targets the head (73% of attacks) — Cannetti absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Cannetti targets the head (64% of attacks) — Moutinho absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moutinho
RND
Cannetti
0/0R00/0
Moutinho · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cristian QuinonezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Guido CannettiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyKO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
Cannetti · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R1
Randy CostaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Kris MoutinhoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaKO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03