The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Middleweight
VS
58%
Sanchez
42%
Janes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sanchez
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 58% vs Janes at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Janes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez
Janes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Janes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
16.8
48.2
Performance Avg
42.5
47
Quality of Victory
38
43
Momentum Score
53
Sanchez
Janes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
19
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance17
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Sanchez
Janes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Janes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Sanchez
Janes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Janes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Janes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
SanchezJanes
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedJanes
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Janes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Janes targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Janes
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Janes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Janes · Last 4
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Keith BerishRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12