UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Welterweight
VS
47%
Alves
53%
Kampmann
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:12
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MK
Martin Kampmann
"The Hitman"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kampmann

This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 47% vs Kampmann at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Alves throws more volume but Kampmann connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kampmann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alves
Kampmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Kampmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
18.6
47.3
Performance Avg
52.1
42
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
76
Alves
Kampmann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
1
Body
5
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Alves
Kampmann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Kampmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Alves
Kampmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alves
Kampmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
64%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
Kampmann
Striking5.8 / 3.1Volume4.3 / 4.2Grappling1.5 / 4.5Wrestling1.0 / 3.2Submission0.7 / 4.5Pressure5.4 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.5
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Alves
Strike Zones
Kampmann
Alves
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Kampmann
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (79% of attacks) — Kampmann absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Kampmann targets the head (58% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
Kampmann
0/0R00/0

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

Kampmann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5W5.1W1.5L3.4L2006-082009-012010-102012-112013-08
WinLossTrend

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Kampmann · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Carlos ConditRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.1
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · Sub · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
W · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11

News & Media

Thiago Alves · Martin Kampmann
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