UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
81%
Fili
19%
Moraes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fili
Fili is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Fili throws more volume but Moraes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fili's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moraes has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fili
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fili
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
11.4
42.0
Performance Avg
31.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
40
Fili
Moraes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
2
Body
3
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance11
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Fili
Moraes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fili
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/38 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Fili
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Fili
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fili
Moraes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
FiliMoraes
Strike Zones
Fili
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMoraes
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fili targets the head (84% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fili
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Fili · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Julio ArceRating 5.2Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Matt SaylesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Sub · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11