UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
Fairfax, USA
15 May 2012
Bantamweight
VS
10%
Soto
90%
Rivera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AS
Alex Soto
"Extremo"
8 – 3
5'8"Southpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
FR
Francisco Rivera
"Cisco"
11 – 7
Striker3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rivera

Rivera is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rivera has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Soto
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Soto
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
18.7
0.0
Performance Avg
45.2
0
Quality of Victory
49
0
Momentum Score
69
Soto
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.8
20%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
17
4
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance20
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Soto
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soto
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
58
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Soto
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Soto
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Soto
Rivera
Striking0.0 / 8.3Volume0.0 / 2.8Grappling0.0 / 0.6Wrestling0.0 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Soto
Strike Zones
Rivera
Soto
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD4BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
17HEAD4BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Soto targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (77% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Soto
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Soto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2011-112012-05
WinLossTrend

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.0L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.5L2011-062013-112015-062016-07
WinLossTrend

Soto · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Michael McDonaldRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11

Rivera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

News & Media

Alex Soto · Francisco Rivera
← Back to fights