UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Cutelaba
57%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jr.
This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 43% vs Jr. at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cutelaba has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cutelaba
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Cutelaba
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
53.7
47.1
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
48
26
Momentum Score
77
Cutelaba
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
1Clinch2
13Ground0
Cutelaba
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Cutelaba
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
77
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Cutelaba
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cutelaba
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
CutelabaJr.
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJr.
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (93% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cutelaba
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5Decision
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Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8Decision
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L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
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