METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Middleweight
VS
59%
Mousasi
41%
Leites
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GM
Gegard Mousasi
426
6'2"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs5-fight win streakStriker
CFR 24
TL
Thales Leites
289
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'1"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Gegard MousasiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thales Leites · UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mousasi
Actual result
Mousasi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Mousasi at 59% vs Leites at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mousasi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mousasi's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Leites has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MousasiLeites
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Mousasi
Leites
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mousasi
Leites
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
16.4
59.2
Performance Avg
48.8
49
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
35
Mousasi
Leites
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
39%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Mousasi
Leites
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mousasi
Leites
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
12/48 fights
Chin rating based on
21/37 fights
Mousasi
Leites
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mousasi
Leites
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
54%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mousasi
Leites
Striking7.1 / 2.8Volume4.2 / 4.9Grappling1.7 / 4.2Wrestling1.2 / 2.9Submission1.1 / 3.9Pressure6.9 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Mousasi
Strike Zones
Leites
Mousasi
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Leites
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mousasi targets the head (81% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Leites targets the head (83% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mousasi
RND
Leites
0/0R00/0

Mousasi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W6.1W2013-042014-092015-092016-102017-04
WinLossTrend

Leites · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.7W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.9L4.5W2006-112009-042015-012017-102018-09
WinLossTrend

Mousasi · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Leites · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

News & Media

Gegard Mousasi · Thales Leites
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