UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Middleweight
VS
59%
Mousasi
41%
Leites
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mousasi
This is a genuine toss-up — Mousasi at 59% vs Leites at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mousasi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mousasi's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Leites has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mousasi
Leites
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mousasi
Leites
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
16.4
59.2
Performance Avg
48.8
49
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
35
Mousasi
Leites
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
39%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Mousasi
Leites
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mousasi
Leites
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/48 fights
Chin rating based on
21/37 fights
Mousasi
Leites
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mousasi
Leites
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
54%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mousasi
Leites
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MousasiLeites
Strike Zones
Mousasi
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedLeites
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mousasi targets the head (81% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Leites targets the head (83% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mousasi
RND
Leites
0/0R00/0
Mousasi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Mousasi · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11