METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Soto
50%
Tanaka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michinori TanakawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Soto · UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Soto
→
Actual result
Tanaka wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Soto at 50% vs Tanaka at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Soto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Soto's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SotoTanaka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soto
Tanaka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Soto
Tanaka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
12.6
39.8
Performance Avg
31.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
45
Soto
Tanaka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
1.2
3.4
Style: Volume
8.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
27
4
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
53Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Soto
Tanaka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soto
Tanaka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Soto
Tanaka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Soto
Tanaka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soto
Tanaka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
SotoTanaka
Strike Zones
Soto
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTanaka
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soto targets the head (87% of attacks) — Tanaka absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Tanaka targets the head (93% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soto
RND
Tanaka
0/0R00/0
Soto · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealSubmission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
Tanaka · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Joe SotoDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06