METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Soto
50%
Tanaka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michinori TanakawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Soto · UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Soto
→
Actual result
Tanaka wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Soto at 50% vs Tanaka at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Soto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Soto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soto's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SotoTanaka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soto
Tanaka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Soto
Tanaka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
12.6
39.8
Performance Avg
31.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
45
Soto
Tanaka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
27
4
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
53Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Soto
Tanaka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soto
Tanaka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Soto
Tanaka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Soto
Tanaka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soto
Tanaka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
SotoTanaka
Strike Zones
Soto
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTanaka
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soto targets the head (87% of attacks) — Tanaka absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Tanaka targets the head (93% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soto
RND
Tanaka
0/0R00/0
Soto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Tanaka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Soto · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
Tanaka · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Joe SotoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeRating 4.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06