★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Middleweight
VS
73%
Adesanya
27%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
6'4"80" reachSwitch36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
YR
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
13 – 5
Knockout Artist3-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Adesanya

Adesanya is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Romero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Adesanya
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
73"
36+
Age
49
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Adesanya
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
24.0
61.2
Performance Avg
56.4
56
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
1
Body
3
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adesanya
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
92
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Adesanya
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
78%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Adesanya
Romero
Striking5.2 / 9.2Volume6.3 / 3.2Grappling1.5 / 0.5Wrestling1.0 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Adesanya
Strike Zones
Romero
Adesanya
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY7LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Romero
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY7LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (57% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Adesanya
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.5W5.8W4.5W5.5W5.2W4.5W6.3W6.4L5.3W6.4L6.5L6.9L2013-042014-092017-072020-03
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Romero · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07

News & Media

Israel Adesanya · Yoel Romero
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