UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Las Vegas, USA
2 Aug 2025
Flyweight
VS
50%
Estevam
50%
Bunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Estevam
"Macapa"
14 – 1
5'8"69" reachOrthodox29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Felipe
Felipe Bunes
"Felipinho"
14 – 9
Submission Hunter2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Estevam

This is a genuine toss-up — Estevam at 50% vs Bunes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Bunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Estevam
Bunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
29+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Estevam
Bunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
47.4
45.0
Performance Avg
42.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
67
Momentum Score
29
Estevam
Bunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
8
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Estevam
Bunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Estevam
Bunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Estevam
Bunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
29
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Estevam
Bunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Estevam
Bunes
Striking1.5 / 0.5Volume9.5 / 0.5Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure2.3 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Estevam
Strike Zones
Bunes
Estevam
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Bunes
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Estevam targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bunes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bunes targets the head (80% of attacks) — Estevam absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Estevam
RND
Bunes
0/0R00/0

Estevam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.4W5.4W5.1W5.7L2023-112025-022025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Bunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.4L5.6W6.1L6.5L2024-012025-012025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Estevam · Last 4

L · KO · R3
Ethyn EwingRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Felipe BunesRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

Bunes · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Edgar ChairezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Rafael EstevamRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose JohnsonRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Joshua VanRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

News & Media

Rafael Estevam · Felipe Bunes
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