METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Anaheim, USA
23 Sept 2006
Welterweight
VS
51%
Hughes
49%
Penn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:53
★ Official Result
Matt HugheswinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:53
def. BJ Penn · UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
→
Actual result
Hughes wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hughes at 51% vs Penn at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penn has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HughesPenn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hughes
Penn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
52
Age
+47
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Penn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
22.2
64.6
Performance Avg
56.9
60
Quality of Victory
63
100
Momentum Score
100
Hughes
Penn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.3
3.7
Style: Volume
1.6
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance1
1Clinch1
8Ground0
Hughes
Penn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hughes
Penn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
27/30 fights
Hughes
Penn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Hughes
Penn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hughes
Penn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
HughesPenn
Strike Zones
Hughes
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPenn
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (83% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Penn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hughes
RND
Penn
0/0R00/0
Hughes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckKO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennKO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaSubmission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieKO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallSubmission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07