UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Lightweight
VS
39%
Maynard
61%
Huerta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Huerta
Huerta holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Maynard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Huerta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Huerta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maynard
Huerta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maynard
Huerta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
21.0
41.4
Performance Avg
56.0
28
Quality of Victory
43
60
Momentum Score
63
Maynard
Huerta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.2
40%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
1Clinch3
1Ground1
Maynard
Huerta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maynard
Huerta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Maynard
Huerta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Maynard
Huerta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maynard
Huerta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MaynardHuerta
Strike Zones
Maynard
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedHuerta
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the head (75% of attacks) — Huerta absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Huerta targets the body (56% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maynard
RND
Huerta
0/0R00/0
Maynard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Huerta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Maynard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8KO/TKO
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Huerta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5Decision
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Clay GuidaRating 6Submission
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