METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Lightweight
VS
71%
Bradley
29%
Nover
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:03
PN
CFR 7
★ Official Result
Kyle BradleywinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:03
def. Phillipe Nover · UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bradley
→
Actual result
Bradley wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Bradley is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bradley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Nover throws more volume but Bradley connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bradley's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nover has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BradleyNover
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bradley
Nover
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bradley
Nover
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
6.8
46.0
Performance Avg
20.7
60
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
0
Bradley
Nover
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Bradley
Nover
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bradley
Nover
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Bradley
Nover
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bradley
Nover
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bradley
Nover
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
BradleyNover
Strike Zones
Bradley
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNover
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bradley targets the head (57% of attacks) — Nover absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Nover targets the head (33% of attacks) — Bradley absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bradley
RND
Nover
0/0R00/0
Bradley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Nover · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Bradley · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
W · KO · R1
Phillipe NoverRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
Nover · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Renan BaraoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Yui Chul NamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Rob EmersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02