UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Flyweight
VS
62%
Johnson
38%
Zhumagulov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Zhumagulov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zhumagulov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Zhumagulov has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
66"
35+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Switch
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
33.0
48.4
Performance Avg
38.1
43
Quality of Victory
54
75
Momentum Score
26
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
11
11
Body
3
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
45Distance29
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
26
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
JohnsonZhumagulov
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedZhumagulov
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Zhumagulov absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Zhumagulov targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Zhumagulov
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Zhumagulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
Upcoming
Asu AlmabayevUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
Zhumagulov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MolinaRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jerome RiveraRating 5Submission
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07