METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Flyweight
VS
64%
Johnson
36%
Zhumagulov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Charles JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Zhalgas Zhumagulov · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Zhumagulov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zhumagulov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Zhumagulov has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonZhumagulov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
66"
35+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Switch
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.5
33.0
48.2
Performance Avg
38.1
43
Quality of Victory
54
96
Momentum Score
26
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.4
5.6
Style: Volume
0.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
11
11
Body
3
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
45Distance29
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
26
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Zhumagulov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
JohnsonZhumagulov
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedZhumagulov
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Zhumagulov absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Zhumagulov targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Zhumagulov
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
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L · Sub · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
Zhumagulov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MolinaDecision
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L · KO · R1
Manel KapeKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Jerome RiveraSubmission
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