METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
New Orleans, USA
17 Sept 2011
Featherweight
VS
53%
Brookins
47%
Koch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Erik KochwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jonathan Brookins · UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brookins
→
Actual result
Koch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brookins at 53% vs Koch at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brookins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Risk flags
Koch has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrookinsKoch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brookins
Koch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
71"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Brookins
Koch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
19.2
64.0
Performance Avg
46.3
80
Quality of Victory
44
45
Momentum Score
84
Brookins
Koch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.8
Style: Volume
4.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
2
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance9
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Brookins
Koch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brookins
Koch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Brookins
Koch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Brookins
Koch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brookins
Koch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
BrookinsKoch
Strike Zones
Brookins
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedKoch
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brookins targets the head (67% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Koch targets the head (73% of attacks) — Brookins absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brookins
RND
Koch
0/0R00/0
Brookins · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Dustin PoirierSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · KO · R1
Vagner RochaKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Erik KochDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05