METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
29%
Koscheck
71%
Lawler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:57
★ Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:57
def. Josh Koscheck · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Lawler wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KoscheckLawler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koscheck
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Koscheck
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
40.7
50.5
Performance Avg
51.0
44
Quality of Victory
45
59
Momentum Score
90
Koscheck
Lawler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.4
Style: Volume
4.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch2
2Ground7
Koscheck
Lawler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koscheck
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
Koscheck
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
90
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Koscheck
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
53%
6
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koscheck
Lawler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
KoscheckLawler
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedLawler
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the head (78% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koscheck
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerSubmission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyKO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksDecision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08