UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Welterweight
VS
47%
Holland
53%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Randy
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brown

This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 47% vs Brown at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Brown throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brown has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holland
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
81"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
52.9
49.3
Performance Avg
48.7
44
Quality of Victory
39
51
Momentum Score
92
Holland
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
5
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Holland
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holland
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Holland
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
92
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holland
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Brown
Striking4.3 / 4.1Volume3.6 / 5.3Grappling3.8 / 2.9Wrestling2.6 / 2.0Submission3.8 / 2.1Pressure6.5 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Holland
Strike Zones
Brown
Holland
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Brown
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (53% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (64% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W2.8L5.5W5.2W6.6L5.0W3.4L5.9W5.5W4.2L5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W3.0L4.5W6.0W5.0W7.3L5.6W3.8L6.1L2016-012018-072022-052024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
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Brown · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5
Decision
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News & Media

Kevin Holland · Randy Brown
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