METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Grant
54%
Marcos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel MarcoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Davey Grant · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marcos
→
Actual result
Marcos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 46% vs Marcos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantMarcos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
61.0
44.2
Performance Avg
54.9
36
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
83
Grant
Marcos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
5.3
5.6
Style: Volume
6.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
16
12
Body
1
9
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Grant
Marcos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Grant
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
83
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Grant
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Marcos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
GrantMarcos
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMarcos
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the body (43% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
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