METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Grant
54%
Marcos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel MarcoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Davey Grant · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marcos
→
Actual result
Marcos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 46% vs Marcos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marcos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantMarcos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
61.0
44.2
Performance Avg
54.9
36
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
83
Grant
Marcos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
16
12
Body
1
9
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Grant
Marcos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Grant
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
83
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Grant
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Marcos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
GrantMarcos
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMarcos
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the body (43% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Marcos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Marcos · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Miles JohnsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Upcoming
AoriqilengUFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02