METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Lightweight
VS
60%
Pearson
40%
Riley
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Ross PearsonwinsR2 · 4:38
def. Aaron Riley · UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pearson
→
Actual result
Pearson wins
Pre-fight analysis
Pearson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Riley has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Pearson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Pearson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Riley has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PearsonRiley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pearson
Riley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pearson
Riley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
11.4
44.3
Performance Avg
28.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
45
Pearson
Riley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
32%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
6
Body
5
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance4
11Clinch6
0Ground0
Pearson
Riley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearson
Riley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
9/44 fights
Pearson
Riley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Pearson
Riley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Riley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
PearsonRiley
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRiley
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Riley targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Riley
0/0R00/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Riley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Riley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin SalasRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · R1
Tony FergusonRating 4.5UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Joe BrammerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · R2
Ross PearsonRating 4.8UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Shane NelsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08