METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
New York City, USA
3 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
18%
Branch
82%
Cannonier
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Jared CannonierwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:39
def. David Branch · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cannonier
→
Actual result
Cannonier wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Cannonier is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Branch's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BranchCannonier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Branch
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
77"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Branch
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.9
53.5
38.0
Performance Avg
48.2
34
Quality of Victory
46
36
Momentum Score
82
Branch
Cannonier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.9
Style: Volume
4.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
12
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground10
Branch
Cannonier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Branch
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/28 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Branch
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
Branch
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Branch
Cannonier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
BranchCannonier
Strike Zones
Branch
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedCannonier
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Branch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (92% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Branch
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06