UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Featherweight
VS
75%
Jourdain
25%
Ewell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jourdain
Jourdain is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jourdain has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ewell has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jourdain
Ewell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+75"
30+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Jourdain
Ewell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
16.9
48.6
Performance Avg
32.8
44
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
35
Jourdain
Ewell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
10
14
Body
3
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
32Distance15
20Clinch0
0Ground0
Jourdain
Ewell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Ewell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Jourdain
Ewell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
35
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jourdain
Ewell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Ewell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
JourdainEwell
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedEwell
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (54% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Ewell targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Ewell
0/0R00/0
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Ewell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
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Ewell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
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L · KO · R2
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