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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Welterweight
VS
55%
Moraes
45%
Saunders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:42
SM
Sergio Moraes
"The Panther"
14 – 6
6'0"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
BS
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:42
def. Ben Saunders · UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraes
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Moraes at 55% vs Saunders at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoraesSaunders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+77"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
15.6
47.0
Performance Avg
46.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
95
Momentum Score
50
Moraes
Saunders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Moraes
Saunders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Moraes
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Moraes
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraes
Saunders
Striking2.5 / 4.3Volume5.2 / 3.6Grappling4.2 / 3.5Wrestling2.9 / 2.4Submission3.8 / 3.3Pressure5.3 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Moraes
Strike Zones
Saunders
Moraes
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Saunders
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the body (100% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraes
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L4.6W5.2W5.5L4.2L4.0L2012-062015-122018-022019-11
WinLossTrend

Saunders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.7W2.8L2.8L5.0W2.8L1.5L2.9L3.1L2007-122010-032016-012018-092019-12
WinLossTrend

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Saunders · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

News & Media

Sergio Moraes · Ben Saunders
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