UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
42%
Iaquinta
58%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AI
Al Iaquinta
"Raging"
14 – 7
5'10"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lee

This is a genuine toss-up — Iaquinta at 42% vs Lee at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Iaquinta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Iaquinta
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
35.2
47.0
Performance Avg
48.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
51
Momentum Score
53
Iaquinta
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Iaquinta
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Iaquinta
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Iaquinta
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Iaquinta
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Iaquinta
Lee
Striking5.6 / 3.0Volume5.6 / 4.1Grappling1.3 / 3.8Wrestling0.9 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.6Pressure4.9 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Iaquinta
Strike Zones
Lee
Iaquinta
Attacking
23HEAD1BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD1BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (87% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Iaquinta
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Iaquinta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L5.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L6.4L2.2L2012-062014-052015-042019-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Al Iaquinta · Kevin Lee
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