METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
42%
Iaquinta
58%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AI
Al Iaquinta
"Raging"
147
5'10"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
188
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35
★ Official Result
Al IaquintawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Lee · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
Actual result
Iaquinta wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Iaquinta at 42% vs Lee at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
IaquintaLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Iaquinta
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
35.2
47.0
Performance Avg
48.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
51
Momentum Score
53
Iaquinta
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.6
5.6
Style: Volume
4.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Iaquinta
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Iaquinta
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Iaquinta
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Iaquinta
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Iaquinta
Lee
Striking5.6 / 3.0Volume5.6 / 4.1Grappling1.3 / 3.8Wrestling0.9 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.6Pressure4.9 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Iaquinta
Strike Zones
Lee
Iaquinta
Attacking
23HEAD1BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD1BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (87% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Iaquinta
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan Hooker
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald Cerrone
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin Lee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles Oliveira
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor Gillespie
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos Anjos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Al Iaquinta · Kevin Lee
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