METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
42%
Iaquinta
58%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Al IaquintawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Lee · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Iaquinta wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Iaquinta at 42% vs Lee at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Iaquinta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IaquintaLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Iaquinta
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
35.2
47.0
Performance Avg
48.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
51
Momentum Score
53
Iaquinta
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Iaquinta
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Iaquinta
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Iaquinta
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Iaquinta
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Iaquinta
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
IaquintaLee
Strike Zones
Iaquinta
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLee
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (87% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Iaquinta
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Iaquinta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Iaquinta · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05