METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
78%
Caceres
22%
Kanehara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Masanori KaneharawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Caceres · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Kanehara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Caceres is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaceresKanehara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Caceres
Kanehara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
67"
38+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Kanehara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
11.5
42.2
Performance Avg
28.3
34
Quality of Victory
25
76
Momentum Score
40
Caceres
Kanehara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
1.0
6.1
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
2
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance12
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Caceres
Kanehara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Caceres
Kanehara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
3/38 fights
Caceres
Kanehara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Caceres
Kanehara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Kanehara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
CaceresKanehara
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedKanehara
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (69% of attacks) — Kanehara absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Kanehara targets the head (83% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Kanehara
0/0R00/0
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L · Sub · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09