UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Phillips
51%
Jourdain
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jourdain
This is a genuine toss-up — Phillips at 49% vs Jourdain at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jourdain has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Phillips
Jourdain
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
72"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Phillips
Jourdain
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
50.4
44.0
Performance Avg
48.6
33
Quality of Victory
44
58
Momentum Score
51
Phillips
Jourdain
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.4
38%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
2
Body
12
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch7
0Ground0
Phillips
Jourdain
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phillips
Jourdain
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Phillips
Jourdain
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Phillips
Jourdain
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phillips
Jourdain
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
PhillipsJourdain
Strike Zones
Phillips
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedJourdain
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phillips targets the head (85% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Jourdain targets the head (55% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phillips
RND
Jourdain
0/0R00/0
Phillips · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Phillips · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R2
Victor HenryRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

