METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
48%
Azaitar
52%
Prado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Francisco PradowinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:05
def. Ottman Azaitar · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prado
→
Actual result
Prado wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Azaitar at 48% vs Prado at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Azaitar's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AzaitarPrado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Azaitar
Prado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
+24
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Azaitar
Prado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
48.9
52.0
Performance Avg
42.7
60
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
26
Azaitar
Prado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
7.5
0.8
Style: Volume
0.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
31
7
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance17
2Clinch1
0Ground20
Azaitar
Prado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Azaitar
Prado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
90
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Azaitar
Prado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Azaitar
Prado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Azaitar
Prado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
AzaitarPrado
Strike Zones
Azaitar
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedPrado
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Azaitar targets the body (50% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Prado targets the head (82% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Azaitar
RND
Prado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Azaitar · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Francisco PradoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R1
Khama WorthyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Teemu PackalenKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Prado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07