UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
51%
Azaitar
49%
Prado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
Ottman
Ottman Azaitar
"Bulldozer"
13 – 3
5'8"71" reachSwitch36 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 51
Francisco
Francisco Prado
12 – 5
Knockout Artist4-fight slide23 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Azaitar

This is a genuine toss-up — Azaitar at 51% vs Prado at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Azaitar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Azaitar's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Azaitar
Prado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
+23
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Azaitar
Prado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.8
48.9
52.0
Performance Avg
42.7
60
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
26
Azaitar
Prado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.2
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
44%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
31
7
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance17
2Clinch1
0Ground20
Azaitar
Prado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Azaitar
Prado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
90
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Azaitar
Prado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Azaitar
Prado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Azaitar
Prado
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume0.8 / 0.3Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Azaitar
Strike Zones
Prado
Azaitar
Attacking
6HEAD7BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD2BODY5LEGS38 absorbed
Prado
Attacking
31HEAD2BODY5LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD7BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Azaitar targets the body (50% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Prado targets the head (82% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Azaitar
RND
Prado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Azaitar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.0W1.7L2.2L2.8L2019-092020-092022-112023-072024-12
WinLossTrend

Prado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0105.7L5.8W5.9L6.5L5.9L6.7L2023-022023-072024-022025-022025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Azaitar · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Francisco PradoRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R1
Khama WorthyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Teemu PackalenRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

Prado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Ottman Azaitar · Francisco Prado
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