UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
69%
Means
31%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Means

Means holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Garcia has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Means
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
16.6
45.2
Performance Avg
46.3
41
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
40
Means
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
32%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
6
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Means
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Means
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Garcia
Striking5.0 / 5.0Volume4.8 / 4.2Grappling2.2 / 2.6Wrestling1.5 / 1.8Submission1.3 / 2.0Pressure5.3 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Means
Strike Zones
Garcia
Means
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (65% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (70% of attacks) — Means absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.1L5.0W5.6L6.2W5.5L5.7L2013-122015-072017-062018-10
WinLossTrend

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Tim Means · Alex Garcia
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