METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
69%
Means
31%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AG
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Tim MeanswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
→
Actual result
Means wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Means holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Garcia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MeansGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Means
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
16.6
45.2
Performance Avg
46.3
41
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
40
Means
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.8
Style: Volume
4.2
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
6
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Means
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Means
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Means
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MeansGarcia
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (65% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (70% of attacks) — Means absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12